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EP 019 · Shutdown · 50 min · PT

O efeito de Trump e Elon Musk quer 1M de humanos em Marte em 20 anos

Jul 17, 2024

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The week's geopolitical shock—an assassination attempt on Donald Trump at a Pennsylvania rally—reshaped market expectations and cementing Musk's public alignment with Republican politics. The would-be shooter, firing from a rooftop with a sniper rifle, grazed Trump's ear before security killed him. The shooter's motives remain unclear despite FBI access to his phone; Apple's encryption may prevent full device access. Economically, the incident boosted US indices on relief (catastrophe averted) and betting on Trump's re-election. Trump favors lower interest rates and looser monetary policy—pressures the Federal Reserve technically resists but in practice accommodates. By week's end, Trump's polling strengthened further as Joe Biden's cognitive decline became undeniable; Democratic prospects dimmed materially.

The contrast between executive compensation globally illuminates how governance structures diverge. Singapore's Prime Minister Laurence Wong earns $1.6 million annually—triple the second-place executive—because Singapore explicitly pays politicians competitively to attract top talent and block corruption. Joe Biden, commanding the world's largest economy, earns $400,000. Portugal's president and prime minister earn roughly $135–150,000. The gap exposes a bet: either Singapore's model prevents corruption better, or most democracies underpay leaders relative to their influence. EDP Renováveis, Portugal's renewable energy firm, sold a 100-megawatt solar facility to Google in Indiana, completing 2025. Tech giants now require renewable PPAs (Power Purchase Agreements) to train large AI models; Google locked a 25–30-year contract. EDP's strategy—signing customers before construction—de-risks projects and ensures long-term revenue. The company already supplies 3.1 gigawatts across North America.

Samsung's Unpacked event in Paris launched iterative phone updates and three new products: Galaxy Buds Pro (visually identical to AirPods, with a stem improving microphone directionality), Galaxy Watch Ultra (modeled on Apple Watch Ultra), and a smart ring—none innovative, but all competitive. The ring measures heart rate and biometrics, targeting users unwilling to wear smartwatches. Samsung's design choices mimicked Apple's proven formats, betting that recognition matters more than differentiation. Meanwhile, Elon Musk declared plans to build a self-sustaining Martian city of one million within 20 years. His playbook spans SpaceX (reusable rockets carrying 100 passengers per two-year round trip), Tesla (vehicles for Martian terrain), Boring Company (underground infrastructure), solar panels for energy, and even Twitter as a testbed for governance models. The venture requires genetic modification of humans to thrive under Mars's thin atmosphere and extreme cold. NASA expects humans on Mars by 2040; Musk aims for a million by 2045. Even if unrealized, the vision advances underlying technologies—reusable rockets, battery systems, closed-loop habitation—that ripple across industries.